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Why Asia Won't Reject Russia's Hydrocarbons or China's Rare Earths Despite US Pressure_我的网站

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　    阿里云优惠券 先领券再下单        在讲这个玩法之前，咱们先来回顾一下一个平台的发展阶段，不论是某多某宝还是某东，甚至其他APP或者游戏软件，无一不是经历这几个阶段：发布上线-增长拉新-稳定停滞-下滑促活-下架关闭。    "Given that energy is the lifeline of modern economies, modern economic growth patterns, there are not that many alternatives available and there are only a few countries that are players in the global energy market. Russia certainly cannot be counted out and Russia cannot be marginalized in the global energy landscape," says Harsh V. Pant, professor of international relations at the King's College London India Institute and director of the strategic studies program at the Observer Research Foundation.,International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol and US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm on 12 July urged Indo-Pacific countries at the Sydney Energy Forum to diversify their supply chains for energy and critical minerals to reduce "dependency" on Russia over its special operation in Ukraine, as well as on China.,"At a time when the energy prices are going up and affecting some of the poorest and most vulnerable countries around the world very significantly, I think Asian countries will continue to cooperate with Russia in order to support their economies and their domestic requirements," says Pant.,He explains that dealing with Russia has become an economic imperative at a time of energy crunch given that Moscow is offering discounted oil to a number of countries. Furthermore, maintaining economic relations with Russia is a question of survival and the people's well-being for some Asian nations and countries of the Global South, according to the professor. Under these circumstances it's highly unlikely that they will succumb to the pressure from Washington and sever ties with Russia, he says.,"For political leaders across the world, at a time when economies are just beginning to grow after the long COVID pandemic, they can [not] afford a lack of energy and higher energy prices," Pant stresses.,Russia, Venezuela to Expand Oil Sector Cooperation, Working on Pact to Circumvent Western Sanctions4 July, 11:15 GMT,Anti-Russia Sanctions: India and EU Approaches,To illustrate his point, the professor cites India's approach to Russia's affairs and the Ukraine crisis. New Delhi continues to import energy from Russia despite the US and Europe urging India to join sweeping anti-Russia sanctions.,"What we have seen in the last two months is a gradual, significant increase in what India is buying from Russia when it comes to oil," the professor says. "This is particularly relevant again because Russia has offered India discounted oil and India's economic requirements demand that India continues buying this oil. The challenges facing India's population mean that the Indian leadership has an incentive in continuing to engage with Russia on this question.",At the same time, the European Union's decision to slap sanctions on Russia and slash energy supplies from the country have backfired on Europe's economy, sending fuel prices up and accelerating inflation.,"We have seen how Europe is struggling to reduce its dependence and the kind of costs that it is imposing on Europeans," says Pant. "Most Asian countries would be reluctant to go down that route.",Brussels: Anti-Russia Sanctions Raise Questions About Sustainability of EU's Financial Model 10 June, 08:44 GMT,The disruptions in the supply of crude after the imposition of ban on imports from Russia have given a dramatic boost to energy prices and inflation, echoes Suranjali Tandon, assistant professor at the Delhi-based National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.,"The current inflationary trends are the most serious challenge for policy makers," she says. "Central banks around the world have begun the process of unwinding loose monetary policy… The current inflation rates have led to internal economic strains and as seen in Sri Lanka, a political upheaval. The cooperation between Russia and Asian countries may be economically prudent.",Moreover, major Asian economies – India and China – are ready to absorb crude supplies from Russia rejected by the West, according to her.,At the same time, Washington's plan to force Asian states to join anti-Russia sanctions is fraught with severe risks for the global economy, Tandon warns.,"The ban, if carried out by other Asian economies, will further cut off supplies of refined petroleum and related products," she says. "This could lead to an unmanageable inflationary spiral while depressing global growth.",Lithium, Gold & Rare Earths: How China May Open the Door to New Business Opportunities for Afghans19 August 2021, 08:38 GMT,Are There Alternatives to Russia & China?,According to Tandon, India sets an important precedent for other Asian states by withstanding the US pressure when it comes to energy sanctions against Russia. By doing this, India is defending its internal interests in the first place, the professor underscores.,She hails the idea that single technology or fuel dependence should be avoided. This principle could be applied to Russia, China, or Western countries in a similar way. However, when the West is calling upon Asian nations to shift to wind, solar, and even nuclear power and abandon fossil fuels, it's clear that this shift cannot be done immediately, the professor emphasizes.,Even after the "green" transition, Asian states and the Global South are likely to maintain ties with Russia and China, who have been developing cutting-edge nuclear technologies and mining rare earths needed for producing electric batteries and electronic components.,"Russia's energy supplies will remain globally important," Tandon forecasts. "More importantly, even when this transition does take place the natural resources including minerals used as inputs in renewables will be concentrated in countries like China. China produces 63% of the world’s rare earth elements, including 45% of molybdenum as per IEA, so it's unclear what countries must do to expand alternatives while being under pressure to transition quickly."。    这几个阶段涵盖任何一个软件的全生命周期，大家都逃不出这个命运的小闭环，唯一不同的是这个周期的长短。有的常青树平台，二十年后依然健在，有的曾经风头无两，现在早已消失在历史的洪流中。    而咱们赖以生存的拼多多平台，目前处于哪个阶段呢？首先肯定不是增长拉新阶段了，增长拉新阶段有个很好的辨识方式，就是流量成本极低，非常好做的时候，就是增长时期。    现在拼多多给咱们商家的感觉是越来越难做了，于是我推测，平台现在所处的阶段估计在增长乏力，求稳变现的阶段了。    知道这些有什么用呢？要明白咱们所有的运营动作都是跟着平台政策走的，比如今年平台严抓产品质量分，咱们链接的流量就会随平台规则的调整而变化，之前品质不好但是价格有优势的品，轻松实现日销千单万单，在新的政策之下，就不行了。    你猜我是怎么知道的，我现在不是做拼多多代运营了嘛，前几天接的一个店，百货类的品，成本很有优势，我挂9.67卖2件，当天一阶段冲了40单，次日200单，三日500单，四日300单，五日0单。

B | 这咋一夜归零了？品质出问题了，推广受限了。    于是我就知道了，今年不能玩辣鸡品了。继续说回拼多多目前所处的阶段，当流量到顶时，平台往往想的就是流量变现了，这也是为什么去年和今年都是强付费为主，自然流为辅了。

C | 因为平台已经到了求稳变现阶段了。    01    拼多多今年核心玩法：活动+车    准确的说，今年的核心玩法应该是强付费，但是实际跑的过程中，我就发现了，如果一个链接即玩强付费，同时又去报活动，效果真的可以做到1+1大于2。那么活动配车要怎么玩呢？    咱们先说车吧，这个简单，不管你是小白还是老手，拼多多直通车应该都会开吧。玩法定了，那么咱们的定价就得跟着玩法来，玩车肯定要定高价，20%以上的利润是要有的。    我玩强付费一般喜欢定50%的利润空间，这种针对的是低客单的品，比如拖鞋，成本5块钱的，就可以定价9块多，然后直通车2~3的投产比直接开车。只要能跑的动，就有的赚。    对于高客单的品，我代运营的品里面也有单价100元左右的，这种品我的定价思路是统一加价15~20元，然后按照成交出价5~10块钱的单笔花费去出价，只要出单咱也是稳赚，主打一个稳赚不赔。    定价这块确定了，接下来就是定玩法了，既然咱们主打的是活动+车，那么在价格设置这块就有讲究了，首先不能直接用限时限量购打到到手价，而是要结合券来玩。    我就直接举个例子吧。

D | 比如我最近接的衣架这个品，为了保护甲方隐私，以下数据做了脱敏处理，仅供参考。

E | 假设这个品的成本是5块钱，我定价是9.8块钱，最终设置的价格是拼单价19.8，限时限量购15.8，新客立减券6，最终到手价9.8。    这样做的目的是什么呢？听我慢慢讲。咱们主打的是活动+车对不对，但是这里面有个问题，你这个链接刚上架就直接去报活动吗？肯定不是的。    尤其是我只有一个品时，我做的每条链接都去上活动，其结果就是每条链接都上不了活动。能理解这句话吗？因为被比价了嘛。单品最多1条链接在活动位上，除非大家防比价做的很专业，以我对大家的了解，这块能做的好的，不到1%。所以，大家只能选择1个品1条链接上活动了。    那么问题来了，咱们一个品一次性上了几十条链接，该选哪条链接去上活动呢？活动有个特点，就是马太效应。

F | 有单的链接上了活动单量会更多，没单的链接上了活动也是没单。    所以，设置新客立减券的目的就是配合直通车测试用的，这么多链接同时开车，就看哪条能跑的好，跑的不好的链接及时的下架或者取消新客立减券，这样只保留1条带券的链接，他的价格就是全店最低价，只要没与其他店铺的同款比价，这条链接就可以去上20981或者22660了。    02    活动+车玩法的注意事项    能直通车跑起来的尽量不上活动，因为上活动后事情就多了。最常见的就是跑着跑着活动掉了，可能店铺星级不够了，又或者被比价了。你说要不要继续上活动？店铺星级掉了，说明品质不行，这个只能拜佛了，求保佑不要再来差评了。    被比价了，那就得洗SKU，单量越多的链接，洗SKU掉量的风险越高。像我300单的链接，洗SKU都极为的谨慎，改1个字都会斟酌很久，改不好权重清零，单量就没了。    只开直通车就简单多了，只要拖价这块不掉链子，单量就能稳住。活动+车目前测试比较稳的就是大促活动了，据我测试，链接单量越多好像是有比价保护一样，就是单量越多的链接越不容易被比价。    现在新的黑标规则也改了，品质不行的就会与白牌同品比价，我推测，大链接加高品质，比价到辣鸡链接的概率会很小，这也是为什么我们做同款低价链接截流不到的原因。    03    最后    活动+车适合厂家和品牌方，如果你是拿货来卖的，就不适合玩这个玩法了。

G | 因为你的每条链接都会被比价，任何活动都上不去。    厂家和品牌方开车就会有单，上活动只是单量进一步放大的手段，毕竟每个老板都是贪婪的，今天有5000单了，就希望明天6000单，就算单量到顶了，也希望能再冲一波，那么只开车没有上活动的链接，就可以用活动+车的玩法来冲一波了。    作者：老虎讲运营，运营书籍《全栈运营高手》作者；电商知识星球《虎虎生威电商圈子》主理人；电商运营推广大牛，千万流水项目操盘手，多平台专栏作家，专注产品运营与推广，擅长品牌打造和爆款制造，号称运营界扛把子。

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